if I could fork myself, I would write a post on the role of luck in personal success. However, I can’t.
So for now I will just refer you to this excellent episode of my favourite podcast series: The Rationally Speaking Podcast:
I love the core metaphor. When the wind is at your back, you quickly forget about it. When it is in your face, it remains right there, in your face. So it is with luck.
This has important implications for causal reasoning, empathy, and learning.